This
study was carried out a good while ago but its principles still apply
just as much today.
Here
is a table of all favourites that ran in the week 19-23 March 2001.
I
have analysed the horses based on their form and their connections'
form on the morning of the race.
We
can clearly see that the favourites that won their races had far fewer
question marks against them than the ones that lost.
Please
note that the object of this exercise is to highlight the negative
characteristics of the favourites - in that respect I have inserted
'OK' if there are no negatives, regardless of how positive the results
of my analysis may be.
Please
also note that Race Types in blue are races where most of the runners
are making their racecourse debut.
Criteria
required for 'OK':
Horse/Class:
Must have shown the ability or obvious potential to seriously compete
in the class of today's race.
Horse/Track:
Must have proven ability on either today's track or one with similar
characteristics.
Horse/Recent:
Analysis of general form over the last few weeks.
Horse/Dist:
Must have shown the ability or obvious potential to run
competitively over today's distance.
Horse/Draw:
Highlight any obvious disadvantage if applicable.
Horse/Going:
Must have shown an obvious ability to handle today's ground.
Trainer/Track:
Trainer must have at least a 10% strike rate on today's track.
Trainer/Recent:
Trainer must have had at least two placed or one winning horse in the
last 14 days.
Jockey/Track:
Jockey must have at least a 10% strike rate on today's track.