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How Many Winners?

Number of winners required at different price levels

 

Like any good business you need to have profit targets.

Most professionals agree that a 20% return on investment over a period is satisfactory. If you place 100 single win bets at 1pt each, you will need to return 120pts in order to be functional.

 

This table shows how many winners you will need, based on their average price, in order to reach your target.

 

Obviously, if the average price of your winners is 6/4 you will need a lot more of them than someone whose win average is 7/2.

If you bet 7/1 shots, for example, 15 winners from your 100 bets would be sufficient

(i.e. 15% strike rate).

 

Remember that your betting bank should be set up in such a way as to provide for the likely effects of your strike rate - please refer to my article Don't Go Broke! (opens in a new window).

 

Average price of winners

Return for a winner (points)

Number of winners required per 100 bets for 20% ROI

Evens 2.00 60
11/10 2.10 58
5/4 2.25 54
11/8 2.37 51
6/4 2.50 48
13/8 2.62 46
7/4 2.75 44
2/1 3.00 40
9/4 3.25 37
5/2 3.50 35
11/4 3.75 32
3/1 4.00 30
100/30 4.33 28
7/2 4.50 27
4/1 5.00 24
9/2 5.50 22
5/1 6.00 20
11/2 6.50 19
6/1 7.00 18
13/2 7.50 16
7/1 8.00 15
15/2 8.50 15
8/1 9.00 14
9/1 10.00 12
10/1 11.00 11
12/1 13.00 10
14/1 15.00 8
16/1 17.00 8
20/1 21.00 6
25/1 26.00 5
33/1 34.00 4

 

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Professional

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by Steve Jones


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Recent winning bets:


Mon 16 Dec

ProBets

Khangai

Won 10/3(r4) to 11/4


Sun 15 Dec

Daily Bargain

Shallow River

Won 10/1


Thu 12 Dec

Daily Bargain

Red Maids (nb)

Won 11/4 (SP 8/1)


Wed 11 Dec

Daily Bargain

Hastily (nb)

Won 12/1(r4) to 7/1


Thu 5 Dec

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Caro Des Flos

Won 5/1 to 7/2


Thu 5 Dec

Daily Bargain

Golden Move (nb)

Won 7/2(r4) (SP 9/2)

+ Jour d'Evasion

2nd 8/1(r4) to 9/4

Exacta: £18.80


Wed 4 Dec

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Cloudy Glen

Won 2/1 to 11/8


Tue 3 Dec

Daily Bargain

Jackson Street

Won 11/2(r4) to 5/1


Tue 3 Dec

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Red Maids

Won 9/2 to 2/1


Mon 2 Dec

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Caramay

Won 7/4 to 6/4


Fri 29 Nov

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Down Around

Won 11/2 to 7/2


Fri 29 Nov

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Hermino AA (nb)

Won 15/2 (SP 17/2)


Thu 28 Nov

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Cardamon Hill (nb)

Won 11/2 (SP 6/1)


Wed 27 Nov

Daily Bargain

Supreme Gift

Won 7/1(r4) to 3/1

+ Harbour Lake (nb)

2nd 11/4(r4) to 2/1

Exacta: £11.10


Wed 27 Nov

ProBets

Marsh Wren

Won 7/2 to 11/4


Tue 26 Nov

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Broughshane

Won 5/1(r4) to 10/3


Mon 25 Nov

Daily Bargain

Es Perfecto

Won 9/2 to 11/4


Mon 25 Nov

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Kabral Du Mathan

Won 13/8 to Evs


Sat 23 Nov

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Royale Pagaille

Won 4/1(r4) to 11/4


Fri 22 Nov

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Kylian

Won 7/1 to 13/2


Thu 21 Nov

Daily Bargain

Showtime

Mahomes

Won 14/1 (SP 16/1)


Wed 20 Nov

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Duke Of Oxford

Won 5/2


Tue 19 Nov

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Hitched

Won 6/4 to 4/7


Fri 15 Nov

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Hyland

Won 5/2 to 2/1


Wed 13 Nov

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Phoenix Moon

Won 6/1 to 5/1


Tue 12 Nov

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Norman Fletcher

Won 6/4 to Evs


Mon 11 Nov

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Overnight Oats

Won 7/1 to 4/1


Sun 10 Nov

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Certainly Red

Won 9/4 to 15/8


Sun 10 Nov

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El Rio (nb)

Won 2/1 (SP 5/2)


Sat 9 Nov

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Rubaud

Won 11/10


Fri 8 Nov

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Won 9/1(r4) to 3/1


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