Professional Betting Advice and Strategy from cdsystems

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ProLays

A Complete Professional Laying Package from Steve Jones

To view results/performance: click here

 

Introduction to ProLays

Many laying services are unnecessarily complex. This one is essentially straightforward to understand and operate, whilst providing highly effective long-term performance.

 

I have conducted plenty of detailed research over the years geared to the recognition of vulnerable favourites. This research, combined with chance quantification techniques and staking optimisation, goes to make up this complete professional laying package.

 

Main features of ProLays:

 

* A complete professional laying package.

* Available by monthly subscription with discounts for longer terms.

* One lay bet per day, seven days a week.

* Advices sent by private email the evening before racing.

* Simple staking method is ideal for those with no time to track the market.

* Only one visit to Betfair is required.

* Price advice given with each bet.

* Advised starting bank: 10 points.

* Liability per bet: 1 point.

* The Notepad service, which sets out the logic behind the bets, is included with every advice.

 

Staking Advice for ProLays

1. Decide the value of your initial investment.

2. Split this figure in the ratio 2:1 (two thirds and a third).

3. Two thirds will form the betting bank, one third will form a reserve fund.

4. Divide the betting bank by 10 to obtain the value of 1 point.

5. Liabilities are 1 point for each bet.

 

Target 1: Reclaim the reserve fund.

When profit reaches 50% of the betting bank starting figure, take out the reserve fund and replace it with accrued profit. The situation is now as it was at the start, except that the reserve fund is made up of accrued profit. Continue betting as normal.

Target 2: Reclaim the betting bank.

When the betting bank doubles, take out the original betting bank capital. The situation is now as it was at the start, except that the whole of the betting bank and the reserve fund are made up of accrued profit. Continue betting as normal. From this point onwards, the whole investment will be funded entirely by accrued profit.

 

Re-investment policy now comes into effect.

The re-investment policy only begins when all funds (betting bank and reserve fund) are made up entirely of accrued profit.

 

Re-investment Policy

This ensures optimum long-term growth by re-investing profits on an ongoing basis.

1. After 100 bets, decide whether any personal withdrawals are required. If so, make the withdrawal first.

2. Split the total of the remaining funds (betting bank plus reserve fund) in the ratio 2:1. Two thirds will form the ongoing betting bank, one third will form the reserve fund.

3. Calculate the value of the new one-point liability by dividing the betting bank by 10.

4. Use this new level liability for the next 100 bets.

5. Repeat after every 100 bets.

 

On Receiving a ProLays Advice

1. Log into your Betfair account and navigate to the race concerned.

 

2. Check for non-runners by clicking the Rules tab on the right of the screen. If there are any non-runners, refer immediately to the Non-Runners section below. If there are no non-runners, continue with step 3 below.

 

3. Ensure both the Back & Lay and Betfair Starting Price boxes are ticked (these are situated just above the list of runners).

 

4. Click on the pink SP box adjacent to the horse named in the ProLays advice.

 

5. Tick the Set SP odds limit box (this is situated on the right of the screen).

 

6. Using the Set Your Max Odds control, select the maximum price which has been advised in your email.

 

7. In the Your Liability box, enter the value which is equal to 1 point.

 

8. Click the Place Bets button.

 

9. Click the Confirm button.

 

Your transaction is now complete.

If Betfair SP is lower than the advised maximum price, your bet is guaranteed to be matched. If Betfair SP is bigger than the advised maximum price, your stake will be refunded regardless of whether the horses wins or loses. If Betfair SP is identical to the advised maximum price, bets will be matched on a first-come-first-served basis.

 

Non-Runners

Your daily advice will indicate any non-runners that have already been taken into account when the bet has been prepared.

 

Please check, before placing your bet, whether there have been any subsequent non-runners listed by Betfair. If there are, you will find them listed on the Rules tab in the right-hand section of the Betfair screen.

 

Provided all non-runners are accounted for, place the bet exactly as advised above and ignore the rest of this section.

 

Any future non-runners (after bet placement) will have the effect of reducing both your maximum lay price and your liability. Betfair will control that function automatically.

 

If any non-runners have not been taken into account on the advice, you will need to reduce both the maximum lay price and the liability yourself before placing your bet. This applies only to non-runners with a reduction factor of 2.5% or more.

 

a). Reducing maximum lay price due to a non-runner

 

Formula: New maximum lay price =

Advised maximum lay price - reduction factor % of non-runner.

 

b). Reducing liability due to a non-runner

 

Formula: New liability (in points) =

Old minimum profit figure in points x (new maximum lay price - 1).

 

Worked example including both calculations

 

Here is a fully-worked example showing what to do should a non-runner be declared after your daily advice is issued but before you place your lay bet.

 

Example:

An advice is issued to lay Horse A at a maximum price of 4.60

There are no non-runners declared at this time.

The liability is 1 point as normal.

Before you are able to place your bet, a non-runner is declared with a reduction factor of 50%.

 

Step 1: Calculate the new maximum lay price as follows:

Advised maximum lay price - reduction factor % of non-runner = new maximum lay price:

4.60 - 50% = 2.30.

The new maximum lay price is therefore 2.30.

 

Step 2: Calculate the new liability as follows:

First calculate the old minimum profit figure:

Liability in points/(advised maximum lay price - 1) = old minimum profit in points:

1/(4.60 - 1) = 1/3.60 = 0.28 points.

Old minimum profit = 0.28 points.

 

Now enter this figure into the calculation for new liability as follows:

Old minimum profit in points x (new maximum lay price - 1):

0.28 x (2.30 - 1) = 0.28 x 1.30 = 0.36 points.

The new liability is therefore 0.36 points.

 

You would therefore enter the following when placing your amended bet:

Set Your Max Odds: 2.30.

Your Liability: Value of 0.36 points.

 

Please note:

1. You need only make adjustments for non-runners unaccounted for on the daily advice.

2. Should there be more than one unaccounted non-runner, apply their reduction factor percentages one at a time in chronological order (times of withdrawal are given by Betfair on the Rules tab). Ignore any non-runners with a reduction factor of less than 2.5%.

 

Profit Calculation

Calculation of Minimum Profit:

Minimum Profit = Liability (ie value of 1 point)/(maximum lay price -1).

Less your Betfair commission.

 

Example:

If your starting bank of 10 points has a value of 1,000 (1 point = 100) and you receive an advice to lay a horse at a maximum price of 3.50:

Minimum Profit = 100/(3.50-1) = 40.

Less your Betfair commission.

 

ProLays Private Email Service: Subscribe Here

 

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Fast, simple and secure subscription

 

Your private email service will automatically commence on the first available betting day. If you wish it to commence on a later date please request this here.

 

The email address you use for payment will be the one to which all your private emails are sent. If you wish to use a different email address for the private service, or if you wish to register a second address for added security, please request this here.

 

If your payment is for an extension to a current subscription, the new period purchased will automatically follow on from the current period.

 

Confirmation of your subscription details will be sent to you by email before your new service commences.

 

Credit and Debit Card Payments
1 month 30.00  

2 months 57.00 equal to 28.50/month

3 months 81.24 equal to 27.08/month

4 months 102.88 equal to 25.72/month

5 months 122.20 equal to 24.44/month

6 months 139.26 equal to 23.21/month

7 months 154.35 equal to 22.05/month

8 months 167.60 equal to 20.95/month

9 months 179.10 equal to 19.90/month

10 months 189.10 equal to 18.91/month

11 months 197.56 equal to 17.96/month

12 months 204.72 equal to 17.06/month

 

Privacy Policy

Under no circumstances will email addresses ever be disclosed to third parties.

 

A Brief Introduction to Betting as an Investment

In the current economic climate there are increasingly more reasons why betting, when conducted professionally, can provide a very attractive alternative to traditional forms of financial investment.

 

Basic investment philosophy

The setting up of a betting bank is crucial to the success of your investment. That bank is your investment, just as it would be if you had a portfolio of stocks and shares, and my job is to manage it and make it grow. Your investment is geared to the buying of racehorses' chances rather than gold or copper but it works in the same way.

 

My operation is geared to progressive growth rather than short-term jackpot-hunting. If, at the end of an investment period, the growth of your investment is greater than you could have achieved with a financial package from a high-street bank, building society or financial services outlet, then the exercise will have been worthwhile. Historical performance has shown that far greater rewards than these traditional methods are possible on a consistent basis.

 

Trading in the chances of racehorses can produce exciting results when handled correctly, as can be seen from the fact that I managed a betting fund which provided a growth of 1,183% over a seven year period.

 

The main emphasis of my risk management strategy is to safeguard your investment. I will not allow it to be exposed to any greater risk than is necessary. The potential effect of negative sequences is carefully calculated and prepared for. With this essential safeguard in place, staking is optimised to ensure the maximisation of profits.

 

Here are a few excerpts from the training manual of one of the world's top fund management companies, clearly showing how the principles of traditional investment strategy can be successfully applied to betting:

 

"...if the risks are either too high or too low, then bet sizes and/or bankroll can be adjusted to produce the desired amount of risk."

 

"...profits and losses do not likely alternate with smooth regularity; they appear, typically, as winning and losing streaks. When the entire investor-manager team realizes this as natural, it is more likely to stay the course during drawdowns, and also to stay appropriately modest during winning streaks."

 

"...in actual practice, the most important psychological consideration is ability to stick to the system. To achieve this, it is important (1) to fully understand the system rules, (2) to know how the system behaves and (3) to have clear and supportive agreements between all parties that support sticking to the system."

 

By correctly following the simple rules of my investment plan you will give yourself every opportunity to reap the rewards it can provide.

 

Notes on sequences

 

Sequences are inevitable and can be both positive and negative. They happen whether we like it or not and are unavoidable no matter what we do. It would be nice if our winners could be spread evenly throughout the year but that will never happen. That's why I advise preparing an investment bank before commencing, and, provided we hit a sufficient overall strike rate for the price range we are targeting, our investment will flourish. Detailed discussion on the topic of sequences can be found in my article

Don't Go Broke (opens in new window).

 

Notes on re-investment of profits

 

With any successful financial plan, re-investment of profits is an important factor in securing optimum long-term performance. With this in mind, my suggestions regarding future management of the initial investment are as follows:

 

Once the initial bank doubles in value, take out the original capital and start the investment plan again, with a new bank of the same initial value as the first, but which is made up purely from accrued profits. You need only do this once as all future investment from this point will be funded by accrued profits.

 

Having achieved that first step, review your investment balance after every 100 bets and reset the value of the stake based on the closing balance. By doing this progressively your stakes will increase pro-rata to profit, thus securing optimum long-term benefits without increasing the relative risk factor attached to your investment.

 

Investors should take the time to read and absorb the following articles in order to gain a better understanding of how the investment plan operates (each link opens in new window):

 

Don't Go Broke

How Many Winners?

Getting Value

Psychology of Betting

Pearls of Wisdom

 

Steve Jones

Professional Betting Advice and Strategy

 

2000 - 2015 Professional Betting Advice and Strategy from cdsystems

Professional

Betting

Portfolio

by Steve Jones

As voted by members of

Secret Betting Club

Never miss the

top early prices

All bets advised the evening before racing


Tue 27 Jun

ProLays

Bromance

Match 3.80


Mon 26 Jun

ProLays

Patanjali

Match 4.80


Sat 24 Jun

ProBets

September

Won 11/8


Fri 23 Jun

ProBets

Caravaggio

Won Evs to 5/6


Thu 22 Jun

ProLays

Zzoro

Match 8.00


Wed 21 Jun

ProBets

Highland Reel

Won 11/4 to 9/4


Tue 20 Jun

ProLays

Beepeecee

Match 3.75


Mon 19 Jun

ProBets

Whitkirk

Won 4/1 to 7/4


Sun 18 Jun

ProLays

Jenniechild

Match 11.00


Sat 17 Jun

Daily Bargain

Viscount Barfield

Won 16/1 to 11/1


Sat 17 Jun

ProLays

Spark Plug

Match 4.70


Fri 16 Jun

ProBets

Royal Household

Won Evs to 5/6


Wed 14 Jun

ProLays

Phosphorescence

Match 6.88


Tue 13 Jun

ProLays

Buzz Lightyere

Match 5.70


Mon 12 Jun

ProLays

Al Nafoorah

Match 3.40


Sun 11 Jun

Daily Bargain

Dragon Fei

Won 12/1(r4) to 11/2


Sun 11 Jun

ProLays

Fast And Hot

Match 7.50


Fri 9 Jun

ProLays

Swendab

Match 4.70


Thu 8 Jun

ProBets

Zenafire

Won 7/4(r4) to 6/5


Thu 8 Jun

ProLays

American Craftsman

Match 8.79


Wed 7 Jun

ProBets

Inshiraah

Won 11/4 to 11/8


Wed 7 Jun

ProLays

Roy's Legacy

Match 6.41


Tue 6 Jun

Daily Bargain

Intrude

Won 11/2(r4) to 5/1


Mon 5 Jun

ProBets

Nine Below Zero

Won 6/4


Sun 4 Jun

Daily Bargain

Beeves (nb)

Won 12/1


Thu 1 Jun

ProLays

Mikmak

Match 6.40


Wed 31 May

ProLays

The Armed Man

Match 4.86


Mon 29 May

Daily Bargain

Whats The Plot

Won 6/1 to 7/2


Mon 29 May

ProBets

Hello Sweetie

Won 11/4


Sun 28 May

ProBets

Commander Grigio

Won 4/1 to 10/3


Fri 26 May

ProBets

Camelback

Won 11/4 to 7/4


Fri 26 May

ProLays

Mr Sundowner

Match 6.20


Thu 25 May

Daily Bargain

Tee It Up Tommo

Won 16/1(r4) to 5/1


Thu 25 May

ProLays

Secret Missile

Match 8.40


Wed 24 May

ProLays

Saffron Prince

Match 9.85


Tue 23 May

Daily Bargain

Table Manners

Won 14/1 to 10/1

+ Faintly (nb)

2nd 8/1 to 5/2

Exacta: 48.20


Tue 23 May

ProBets

Coeur De Lion

Won 6/4 to Evs


Sun 21 May

ProBets

Khalessi

Won 11/4 to 15/8


Sun 21 May

Daily Bargain

Arnold (nb)

Won 9/2


Sun 21 May

ProLays

Roy's Legacy

Match 8.05


Sat 20 May

ProBets

Ribchester

Won 9/4(r4) to 7/4


Sat 20 May

ProLays

Acclaim The Nation

Match 7.20


Fri 19 May

Daily Bargain

Dartmouth (nb)

Won 4/1 to 11/4


Fri 19 May

ProLays

Beer Goggles

Match 7.20


Thu 18 May

ProLays

Queen's Trust

Match 2.58


Wed 17 May

Daily Bargain

Master Carpenter

Won 16/1 to 12/1


Wed 17 May

ProBets

Kestrel Dot Com

Won 5/1 to 11/4


Wed 17 May

ProLays

Stonehall Jack

Match 6.84


Tue 16 May

ProLays

Miss Conway

Match 5.19


Mon 15 May

Daily Bargain

While You Wait

Won 25/1 to 7/1


Mon 15 May

ProLays

Clearly Capable

Match 2.18


Sun 14 May

ProBets

Bostin

Won 4/1(r4) to 3/1


Sun 14 May

ProLays

Sunnytahliateigan

Match 4.11


5-13 May

Short break: no bets


Thu 4 May

ProBets

Mukalal

Won 9/4 to 6/4


Wed 3 May

ProBets

Blue Point

Won 9/4 to 13/8


Wed 3 May

Daily Bargain

Ballard Down (nb)

Won 7/2


Tue 2 May

ProLays

Pernickety

Match 4.32


Mon 1 May

ProLays

Stubytuesday

Match 7.44